{
 "schema": "proofof.sovspace-latest/0.1",
 "generated_at": "2026-09-29T09:30:07Z",
 "site": "https://proofof.ai",
 "banner": "Predictions, not measurements. Measured results live at councilof.ai.",
 "what_this_is": "SovSpace, on proofof.ai: for every published measurement capsule on councilof.ai, a set of predictions about what the next observation of the same subject will show, kept here and scored later against that observation.",
 "what_this_is_not": "Not a measurement, a grade, a ranking or an approval of anything. A prediction coming true says nothing about the quality of what was measured. Measured results live at councilof.ai.",
 "labels": {
  "PREDICTED": "made by SovSpace before the outcome was known; not a measurement",
  "SCORED": "a PREDICTED figure compared with a later, verified observation (Brier score, log loss)"
 },
 "totals": {
  "capsules_reacted_to": {
   "value": 16930,
   "label": "PREDICTED",
   "note": "capsules that received a reaction (one prediction set each), all days"
  },
  "predictions_made": {
   "value": 17098,
   "label": "PREDICTED"
  },
  "predictions_open": {
   "value": 14275,
   "label": "PREDICTED",
   "note": "not yet scored and still inside their window"
  },
  "predictions_past_window_unscored": {
   "value": 1141,
   "label": "PREDICTED",
   "note": "the window closed with no scoring observation; never counted as correct"
  },
  "predictions_resolved": {
   "value": 1682,
   "label": "SCORED"
  },
  "brier_mean": {
   "value": 0.166608,
   "label": "SCORED",
   "n": 1682,
   "reference": {
    "value": 0.25,
    "what": "the Brier score of always saying 0.5; lower is better"
   },
   "predictor_versions": {
    "persistence_laplace_0_1": {
     "predictor": "persistence-laplace/0.1",
     "n": 1037,
     "brier_mean": 0.25
    },
    "climatology_hier_0_2": {
     "predictor": "climatology-hier/0.2",
     "n": 645,
     "brier_mean": 0.032534
    }
   },
   "baselines": {
    "uniform": {
     "value": 0.25,
     "what": "always saying 0.5"
    },
    "climatology_kind": {
     "value": 0.166307,
     "what": "the base rate of 'unchanged' for the kind of measurement, from outcomes known before the prediction"
    },
    "persistence_last_outcome": {
     "value": 0.167869,
     "what": "the subject's own last known outcome (kind base rate where it has none)"
    },
    "rule_v0_1": {
     "value": 0.192609,
     "what": "predictor persistence-laplace/0.1's rule given the same history"
    },
    "rule_v0_2": {
     "value": 0.166608,
     "what": "predictor climatology-hier/0.2's rule given the same history"
    }
   },
   "murphy": {
    "reliability": 0.130329,
    "resolution": 0.000872,
    "uncertainty": 0.037151,
    "rule": "Brier = reliability - resolution + uncertainty (Murphy 1973), grouping identical forecasts"
   },
   "base_rate_unchanged": 0.961356,
   "persistence_coverage": 342,
   "max_history_at_freeze": 365,
   "baseline_rule": "each baseline uses only outcomes observed and scored strictly before the prediction it is compared with was frozen"
  },
  "log_loss_mean": {
   "value": 0.483939,
   "label": "SCORED",
   "n": 1682
  },
  "first_resolve_date": {
   "value": "2026-09-28",
   "at": "2026-09-28T04:20:00Z",
   "basis": "earliest opening of an observation window among open predictions whose re-observation job is confirmed to run",
   "open_without_confirmed_runner": 12583
  }
 },
 "latest_run": {
  "day": "2026-09-29",
  "frozen_at": "2026-09-29T09:00:04Z",
  "reaction_run_content_id": "c3379a4f59af092d84564e5c593b2da994a8cb7d3314e286b82cb2ee9f3f8712",
  "reactions_root": "ac3c1d5a3bfd8854fbf77324931ffcaac47ed601f01fdd7bfc5b8816b9247ec8",
  "capsule_index_root": "5ce9511e9554cef6d92d166af08f9bae0b5149655fa555e2025a505ed9af06df",
  "capsule_index_sha256": "fb56321561f16362c83d8eaaf9320083bb2ac96fa466f4d560625639cc08b332",
  "capsule_index_as_of": "2026-09-29T08:16:04Z",
  "reactions": 1263,
  "negative_control": {
   "CAN_FAIL": 189,
   "NOT_APPLICABLE": 45,
   "SCHEDULED": 1029
  },
  "integrity_control": {
   "CAN_FAIL": 1263
  },
  "coverage": {
   "final_index_root": "5ce9511e9554cef6d92d166af08f9bae0b5149655fa555e2025a505ed9af06df",
   "final_index_as_of": "2026-09-29T08:16:04Z",
   "final_index_url": "https://huggingface.co/datasets/csoai/evidence-index/blob/main/measurement-index/2026-09-29/measurement-index-v0.2-2026-09-29.json",
   "final_index_n_capsules": 10958,
   "reacted_capsules_in_final_index": 10958,
   "reacted_capsules_this_run": 1263,
   "reacted_capsules_caught_up": 140,
   "final_batches_caught_up": [
    {
     "adapter": "mill_cross_runtime",
     "batch_root": "78226433e9e433b311e067ee56fcbaf415f6dc57301254f3bb4922a0b8053cf6",
     "n": 140,
     "first_in_inbox_of": "2026-09-26"
    }
   ],
   "superseded_without_reaction": [
    {
     "adapter": "cross_ledger",
     "batch_root": "a6e3fd14b1cc68072d919bfc59565161e59c492f97c775bbebefd48705770bf9",
     "n": 353,
     "last_listed_in_index_of": "2026-09-26"
    }
   ],
   "reacted_capsules_carried": 9695,
   "final_batches_carried": [
    {
     "adapter": "mill_cross_runtime",
     "batch_root": "5ae00c1f4c2ed290fb91206f29372d0df3e61478c568d4797855502e751ebff6",
     "n": 14,
     "reacted_on": "2026-09-26"
    },
    {
     "adapter": "contract_parity",
     "batch_root": "70403984d857b7b167d0010608f79c5407bc8642435eb72e7644c83918b1a788",
     "n": 9148,
     "reacted_on": "2026-09-26"
    },
    {
     "adapter": "a2a_card",
     "batch_root": "bf12f4ad340a11a14ecbd359ba90b3aaebb36bb75bcf9e11f433148441bae436",
     "n": 33,
     "reacted_on": "2026-09-26"
    },
    {
     "adapter": "tool_drift",
     "batch_root": "f99fbb03fe87c97c4c6dfe34370af0c0fd25bba1e0652f2a252089c4a9ea2920",
     "n": 500,
     "reacted_on": "2026-09-28"
    }
   ],
   "reacted_batches_superseded_later": [],
   "final_batches_without_reaction": []
  },
  "predictions": 1263,
  "open": 1263,
  "resolved": 0,
  "past_window_unscored": 0,
  "brier_mean": null,
  "log_loss_mean": null
 },
 "runs": [
  {
   "day": "2026-09-26",
   "frozen_at": "2026-09-26T08:25:14Z",
   "reaction_run_content_id": "42a90530a6b35990104566d0213a9da060f3bce6d2131506376c2ac0a5e4279b",
   "reactions_root": "d39f4915be866cf4f6d6d487d5b7052aba69ee76c34082163418eb5ac06ab7be",
   "capsule_index_root": "63b1aa782b2bdea341e2ba42bd105e70704dfcb92a95d758c9ef14d08bf6d146",
   "capsule_index_sha256": "34a2decc4077d56ca54d965ae81c9d694de7b704a13b8d003bcad6c970ae0c0c",
   "capsule_index_as_of": "2026-09-26T07:56:51Z",
   "reactions": 12747,
   "negative_control": {
    "CANNOT_CONSTRUCT_PASSING_INPUT": 2,
    "CAN_FAIL": 7000,
    "CAN_PASS": 6,
    "MIRROR_GAP": 3,
    "NOT_APPLICABLE": 25,
    "SCHEDULED": 5711
   },
   "integrity_control": {
    "CAN_FAIL": 12747
   },
   "coverage": {
    "final_index_root": "85533b833d36f8a4165da34206ee6e39f7434c646c8a2c381d251391ceec366d",
    "final_index_as_of": "2026-09-26T10:34:15Z",
    "final_index_url": "https://councilof.ai/measurement-capsules/v0.2/index.json",
    "final_index_n_capsules": 13184,
    "reacted_capsules_in_final_index": 12691,
    "reacted_capsules_this_run": 12691,
    "reacted_capsules_caught_up": 0,
    "final_batches_caught_up": [],
    "superseded_without_reaction": [],
    "reacted_capsules_carried": 0,
    "final_batches_carried": [],
    "reacted_batches_superseded_later": [
     {
      "adapter": "cross_ledger",
      "batch_root": "170c5d45a2d19b2d9aa33ab25e5714b85a618e197479ee97f5d0ae55c9d0f9eb",
      "n": 56,
      "public_index": "https://huggingface.co/datasets/csoai/evidence-index/blob/main/measurement-index/2026-09-26/measurement-index-v0.2-2026-09-26.superseded-20260926T083332Z.json"
     }
    ],
    "final_batches_without_reaction": [
     {
      "adapter": "mill_cross_runtime",
      "batch_root": "78226433e9e433b311e067ee56fcbaf415f6dc57301254f3bb4922a0b8053cf6",
      "n": 140
     },
     {
      "adapter": "cross_ledger",
      "batch_root": "a6e3fd14b1cc68072d919bfc59565161e59c492f97c775bbebefd48705770bf9",
      "n": 353
     }
    ]
   },
   "predictions": 12747,
   "open": 11187,
   "resolved": 419,
   "past_window_unscored": 1141,
   "brier_mean": 0.25,
   "log_loss_mean": 0.693147
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-27",
   "frozen_at": "2026-09-27T08:25:29Z",
   "reaction_run_content_id": "20a67d10fb887690c0656db9d1e9326c42a0a1343b92672de8bb7e16bd84a334",
   "reactions_root": "b561f1c949d051b3d04006e8e1e67f588a05d1eee7676f00a69ce7aaf1c52297",
   "capsule_index_root": null,
   "capsule_index_sha256": null,
   "capsule_index_as_of": null,
   "reactions": 1674,
   "negative_control": {
    "CAN_FAIL": 46,
    "NOT_APPLICABLE": 43,
    "SCHEDULED": 1585
   },
   "integrity_control": {
    "CAN_FAIL": 1674
   },
   "coverage": {
    "final_index_root": "95af80581df2b1b9e5ca443ab4648d82c8bc15601607f3b895aa44cd24b2a504",
    "final_index_as_of": "2026-09-27T08:12:37Z",
    "final_index_url": "https://huggingface.co/datasets/csoai/evidence-index/blob/main/measurement-index/2026-09-27/measurement-index-v0.2-2026-09-27.json",
    "final_index_n_capsules": 11009,
    "reacted_capsules_in_final_index": 10869,
    "reacted_capsules_this_run": 1674,
    "reacted_capsules_caught_up": 0,
    "final_batches_caught_up": [],
    "superseded_without_reaction": [],
    "reacted_capsules_carried": 9195,
    "final_batches_carried": [
     {
      "adapter": "mill_cross_runtime",
      "batch_root": "5ae00c1f4c2ed290fb91206f29372d0df3e61478c568d4797855502e751ebff6",
      "n": 14,
      "reacted_on": "2026-09-26"
     },
     {
      "adapter": "contract_parity",
      "batch_root": "70403984d857b7b167d0010608f79c5407bc8642435eb72e7644c83918b1a788",
      "n": 9148,
      "reacted_on": "2026-09-26"
     },
     {
      "adapter": "a2a_card",
      "batch_root": "bf12f4ad340a11a14ecbd359ba90b3aaebb36bb75bcf9e11f433148441bae436",
      "n": 33,
      "reacted_on": "2026-09-26"
     }
    ],
    "reacted_batches_superseded_later": [],
    "final_batches_without_reaction": [
     {
      "adapter": "mill_cross_runtime",
      "batch_root": "78226433e9e433b311e067ee56fcbaf415f6dc57301254f3bb4922a0b8053cf6",
      "n": 140
     }
    ]
   },
   "predictions": 1674,
   "open": 1056,
   "resolved": 618,
   "past_window_unscored": 0,
   "brier_mean": 0.25,
   "log_loss_mean": 0.693147
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-28",
   "frozen_at": "2026-09-28T08:25:31Z",
   "reaction_run_content_id": "7e2126b71bbaa67736ceeeafac3c7c7cbad32e68c91acb97a73eec815a866d18",
   "reactions_root": "0fa5fc9c8c8c6ea3fc37112a15566e22dafca5595793875574b8466f7246107e",
   "capsule_index_root": null,
   "capsule_index_sha256": null,
   "capsule_index_as_of": null,
   "reactions": 1414,
   "negative_control": {
    "CAN_FAIL": 46,
    "NOT_APPLICABLE": 45,
    "SCHEDULED": 1323
   },
   "integrity_control": {
    "CAN_FAIL": 1414
   },
   "coverage": {
    "final_index_root": "33abfb8de6129ef1ce40cdc87634e007dc044e9e53bbb5bc40d43e63030470c0",
    "final_index_as_of": "2026-09-28T08:07:41Z",
    "final_index_url": "https://huggingface.co/datasets/csoai/evidence-index/blob/main/measurement-index/2026-09-28/measurement-index-v0.2-2026-09-28.json",
    "final_index_n_capsules": 10749,
    "reacted_capsules_in_final_index": 10609,
    "reacted_capsules_this_run": 1414,
    "reacted_capsules_caught_up": 0,
    "final_batches_caught_up": [],
    "superseded_without_reaction": [],
    "reacted_capsules_carried": 9195,
    "final_batches_carried": [
     {
      "adapter": "mill_cross_runtime",
      "batch_root": "5ae00c1f4c2ed290fb91206f29372d0df3e61478c568d4797855502e751ebff6",
      "n": 14,
      "reacted_on": "2026-09-26"
     },
     {
      "adapter": "contract_parity",
      "batch_root": "70403984d857b7b167d0010608f79c5407bc8642435eb72e7644c83918b1a788",
      "n": 9148,
      "reacted_on": "2026-09-26"
     },
     {
      "adapter": "a2a_card",
      "batch_root": "bf12f4ad340a11a14ecbd359ba90b3aaebb36bb75bcf9e11f433148441bae436",
      "n": 33,
      "reacted_on": "2026-09-26"
     }
    ],
    "reacted_batches_superseded_later": [],
    "final_batches_without_reaction": [
     {
      "adapter": "mill_cross_runtime",
      "batch_root": "78226433e9e433b311e067ee56fcbaf415f6dc57301254f3bb4922a0b8053cf6",
      "n": 140
     }
    ]
   },
   "predictions": 1414,
   "open": 769,
   "resolved": 645,
   "past_window_unscored": 0,
   "brier_mean": 0.032534,
   "log_loss_mean": 0.147585
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-29",
   "frozen_at": "2026-09-29T09:00:04Z",
   "reaction_run_content_id": "c3379a4f59af092d84564e5c593b2da994a8cb7d3314e286b82cb2ee9f3f8712",
   "reactions_root": "ac3c1d5a3bfd8854fbf77324931ffcaac47ed601f01fdd7bfc5b8816b9247ec8",
   "capsule_index_root": "5ce9511e9554cef6d92d166af08f9bae0b5149655fa555e2025a505ed9af06df",
   "capsule_index_sha256": "fb56321561f16362c83d8eaaf9320083bb2ac96fa466f4d560625639cc08b332",
   "capsule_index_as_of": "2026-09-29T08:16:04Z",
   "reactions": 1263,
   "negative_control": {
    "CAN_FAIL": 189,
    "NOT_APPLICABLE": 45,
    "SCHEDULED": 1029
   },
   "integrity_control": {
    "CAN_FAIL": 1263
   },
   "coverage": {
    "final_index_root": "5ce9511e9554cef6d92d166af08f9bae0b5149655fa555e2025a505ed9af06df",
    "final_index_as_of": "2026-09-29T08:16:04Z",
    "final_index_url": "https://huggingface.co/datasets/csoai/evidence-index/blob/main/measurement-index/2026-09-29/measurement-index-v0.2-2026-09-29.json",
    "final_index_n_capsules": 10958,
    "reacted_capsules_in_final_index": 10958,
    "reacted_capsules_this_run": 1263,
    "reacted_capsules_caught_up": 140,
    "final_batches_caught_up": [
     {
      "adapter": "mill_cross_runtime",
      "batch_root": "78226433e9e433b311e067ee56fcbaf415f6dc57301254f3bb4922a0b8053cf6",
      "n": 140,
      "first_in_inbox_of": "2026-09-26"
     }
    ],
    "superseded_without_reaction": [
     {
      "adapter": "cross_ledger",
      "batch_root": "a6e3fd14b1cc68072d919bfc59565161e59c492f97c775bbebefd48705770bf9",
      "n": 353,
      "last_listed_in_index_of": "2026-09-26"
     }
    ],
    "reacted_capsules_carried": 9695,
    "final_batches_carried": [
     {
      "adapter": "mill_cross_runtime",
      "batch_root": "5ae00c1f4c2ed290fb91206f29372d0df3e61478c568d4797855502e751ebff6",
      "n": 14,
      "reacted_on": "2026-09-26"
     },
     {
      "adapter": "contract_parity",
      "batch_root": "70403984d857b7b167d0010608f79c5407bc8642435eb72e7644c83918b1a788",
      "n": 9148,
      "reacted_on": "2026-09-26"
     },
     {
      "adapter": "a2a_card",
      "batch_root": "bf12f4ad340a11a14ecbd359ba90b3aaebb36bb75bcf9e11f433148441bae436",
      "n": 33,
      "reacted_on": "2026-09-26"
     },
     {
      "adapter": "tool_drift",
      "batch_root": "f99fbb03fe87c97c4c6dfe34370af0c0fd25bba1e0652f2a252089c4a9ea2920",
      "n": 500,
      "reacted_on": "2026-09-28"
     }
    ],
    "reacted_batches_superseded_later": [],
    "final_batches_without_reaction": []
   },
   "predictions": 1263,
   "open": 1263,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 0,
   "brier_mean": null,
   "log_loss_mean": null
  }
 ],
 "predictor_versions": {
  "persistence_laplace_0_1": {
   "predictor": "persistence-laplace/0.1",
   "label": "PREDICTED",
   "first_run_day": "2026-09-26",
   "first_frozen_at": "2026-09-26T08:25:14Z",
   "predictions": 14421,
   "open": 12243,
   "resolved": 1037,
   "past_window_unscored": 1141,
   "first_observe_after": "2026-09-27T02:00:00Z",
   "note": "counts of this predictor version's predictions; its Brier score is in totals.brier_mean.predictor_versions once any of them is SCORED"
  },
  "climatology_hier_0_2": {
   "predictor": "climatology-hier/0.2",
   "label": "PREDICTED",
   "first_run_day": "2026-09-28",
   "first_frozen_at": "2026-09-28T08:25:31Z",
   "predictions": 2677,
   "open": 2032,
   "resolved": 645,
   "past_window_unscored": 0,
   "first_observe_after": "2026-09-29T04:20:00Z",
   "note": "counts of this predictor version's predictions; its Brier score is in totals.brier_mean.predictor_versions once any of them is SCORED"
  }
 },
 "by_adapter": [
  {
   "adapter": "a2a_card",
   "name": "Agent card signatures",
   "predictions": 33,
   "open": 33,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 0,
   "brier_mean": null,
   "log_loss_mean": null,
   "capsules": 33
  },
  {
   "adapter": "claim_watch",
   "name": "claim_watch",
   "predictions": 1,
   "open": 1,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 0,
   "brier_mean": null,
   "log_loss_mean": null,
   "capsules": 1
  },
  {
   "adapter": "contract_parity",
   "name": "MCP contract parity",
   "predictions": 9148,
   "open": 8019,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 1129,
   "brier_mean": null,
   "log_loss_mean": null,
   "capsules": 9148
  },
  {
   "adapter": "cross_ledger",
   "name": "Cross-ledger supply",
   "predictions": 1175,
   "open": 406,
   "resolved": 758,
   "past_window_unscored": 11,
   "brier_mean": 0.15223,
   "log_loss_mean": 0.461262,
   "capsules": 1007
  },
  {
   "adapter": "mill_cross_runtime",
   "name": "Cross-runtime reproduction",
   "predictions": 154,
   "open": 154,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 0,
   "brier_mean": null,
   "log_loss_mean": null,
   "capsules": 154
  },
  {
   "adapter": "operations",
   "name": "Operations (our own pipeline)",
   "predictions": 1266,
   "open": 1256,
   "resolved": 10,
   "past_window_unscored": 0,
   "brier_mean": 0.262768,
   "log_loss_mean": 0.767961,
   "capsules": 1266
  },
  {
   "adapter": "public_signals",
   "name": "Public signals",
   "predictions": 472,
   "open": 122,
   "resolved": 350,
   "past_window_unscored": 0,
   "brier_mean": 0.169462,
   "log_loss_mean": 0.480414,
   "capsules": 472
  },
  {
   "adapter": "self_parity",
   "name": "Self parity (our own listings)",
   "predictions": 609,
   "open": 165,
   "resolved": 443,
   "past_window_unscored": 1,
   "brier_mean": 0.164006,
   "log_loss_mean": 0.461973,
   "capsules": 609
  },
  {
   "adapter": "tool_drift",
   "name": "MCP tool drift",
   "predictions": 4240,
   "open": 4119,
   "resolved": 121,
   "past_window_unscored": 0,
   "brier_mean": 0.25,
   "log_loss_mean": 0.693147,
   "capsules": 4240
  }
 ],
 "calibration_ledger": {
  "rows": 1682,
  "scored_predictions": 1682,
  "refused_predictions": 0,
  "rule": "an observation is scored only if it is strictly later than both the frozen prediction and the capsule it reacts to, and its batch root recomputes"
 },
 "files": [
  {
   "day": "2026-09-26",
   "adapter": "a2a_card",
   "name": "Agent card signatures",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-26/a2a_card.json",
   "rows": 33,
   "sha256": "27ddb4ed3e8baac8827316f299f48fc012787a0014b0d166d18abe76c6c2a151",
   "subjects_public": true,
   "row_source": "https://huggingface.co/datasets/csoai/a2a-card-census",
   "open": 33,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-26",
   "adapter": "contract_parity",
   "name": "MCP contract parity",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-26/contract_parity.json",
   "rows": 9148,
   "sha256": "e01e74a161dd87dd7dfecb6a986e5cd7c3e86a4d97ee1ed67c2f470dfcbe8ebb",
   "subjects_public": true,
   "row_source": "https://huggingface.co/datasets/csoai/mcp-contract-parity",
   "open": 8019,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 1129
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-26",
   "adapter": "cross_ledger",
   "name": "Cross-ledger supply",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-26/cross_ledger.json",
   "rows": 56,
   "sha256": "c9e5b117b4a97ddf8cb2b29d582f0508310ecdee18a8c612f068ea0dc64acdf8",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 0,
   "resolved": 45,
   "past_window_unscored": 11
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-26",
   "adapter": "mill_cross_runtime",
   "name": "Cross-runtime reproduction",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-26/mill_cross_runtime.json",
   "rows": 14,
   "sha256": "18dc776b827a653464abec814022ecf8f080cf5753b918744bb31f0e6a1bd398",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 14,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-26",
   "adapter": "public_signals",
   "name": "Public signals",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-26/public_signals.json",
   "rows": 118,
   "sha256": "46f4678581b8c2ac1cce7ace6c2bf5be5eec0378d9bce3b2dd1ee0740fa9b349",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 2,
   "resolved": 116,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-26",
   "adapter": "self_parity",
   "name": "Self parity (our own listings)",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-26/self_parity.json",
   "rows": 138,
   "sha256": "9aaf7cb99f8f68a3e447d9ace17e0099ed249824c532effc7f841bc01a4076e1",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 0,
   "resolved": 137,
   "past_window_unscored": 1
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-26",
   "adapter": "tool_drift",
   "name": "MCP tool drift",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-26/tool_drift.json",
   "rows": 3240,
   "sha256": "8cb7b000095266b66384160d85b3eede36ce71289076ce9bc76121b275add7dd",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 3119,
   "resolved": 121,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-27",
   "adapter": "cross_ledger",
   "name": "Cross-ledger supply",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-27/cross_ledger.json",
   "rows": 353,
   "sha256": "ce793b1a89926181a9e3beba572480966946412d94695b2237a03b6feadffd35",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 12,
   "resolved": 341,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-27",
   "adapter": "operations",
   "name": "Operations (our own pipeline)",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-27/operations.json",
   "rows": 551,
   "sha256": "bd804ada7e14b5a6463980301666241b5949060edbf868be27b4f86489764ec1",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 544,
   "resolved": 7,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-27",
   "adapter": "public_signals",
   "name": "Public signals",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-27/public_signals.json",
   "rows": 117,
   "sha256": "9d2f10582520fc660738c0bcc95db35121267de7cf5bec272a425b685e2a077c",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 0,
   "resolved": 117,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-27",
   "adapter": "self_parity",
   "name": "Self parity (our own listings)",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-27/self_parity.json",
   "rows": 153,
   "sha256": "ecc6002380baaab16e2d20cf91bc437af95676e9fea33b636f6e7bf001d6510c",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 0,
   "resolved": 153,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-27",
   "adapter": "tool_drift",
   "name": "MCP tool drift",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-27/tool_drift.json",
   "rows": 500,
   "sha256": "9d4ba9369707783b100535e3934567bf60de7b4e10e3471c57a3fec2b6556180",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 500,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-28",
   "adapter": "cross_ledger",
   "name": "Cross-ledger supply",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-28/cross_ledger.json",
   "rows": 383,
   "sha256": "a0f8ba298e0bf9f5461688f56ba298cad9a597fbf1e46f5cd42417f076f26c7c",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 11,
   "resolved": 372,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-28",
   "adapter": "operations",
   "name": "Operations (our own pipeline)",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-28/operations.json",
   "rows": 259,
   "sha256": "70624e4f0945c6cf347418a4f6141bf0913a918c898d2d99dc99ebf079406f7e",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 256,
   "resolved": 3,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-28",
   "adapter": "public_signals",
   "name": "Public signals",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-28/public_signals.json",
   "rows": 119,
   "sha256": "6ed04af729f9c797ef5823de264fc08ce5cfb3ded3c37859d2eb1b68f9a6dc2d",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 2,
   "resolved": 117,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-28",
   "adapter": "self_parity",
   "name": "Self parity (our own listings)",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-28/self_parity.json",
   "rows": 153,
   "sha256": "675f4add985e12636492780d9a90ce4ffb572449d89e2f2f1bc7ab24a08cc991",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 0,
   "resolved": 153,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-28",
   "adapter": "tool_drift",
   "name": "MCP tool drift",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-28/tool_drift.json",
   "rows": 500,
   "sha256": "237866cd63d6d45bdefcd95d5cd421a5bdb296a0abb978b1ab753f4f960c3592",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 500,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-29",
   "adapter": "claim_watch",
   "name": "claim_watch",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-29/claim_watch.json",
   "rows": 1,
   "sha256": "5fe879ba7a6c11093d3ad4581de93eb39b45e0ae9a293adddc156d7a40664d8b",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 1,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-29",
   "adapter": "cross_ledger",
   "name": "Cross-ledger supply",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-29/cross_ledger.json",
   "rows": 383,
   "sha256": "56204defac8fc3322a4d5e6c9de4ea41a6207163d9e853a22ca8f1e98685005e",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 383,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-29",
   "adapter": "mill_cross_runtime",
   "name": "Cross-runtime reproduction",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-29/mill_cross_runtime.json",
   "rows": 140,
   "sha256": "f32a2322def3ff90d2d00bf7419e40fb833cefe0213dcbad8a8043763065bc5c",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 140,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-29",
   "adapter": "operations",
   "name": "Operations (our own pipeline)",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-29/operations.json",
   "rows": 456,
   "sha256": "c8071c202dbb43d3029d0289d703e276a25940ca24ad69e7cfce91fe5862ae3c",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 456,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-29",
   "adapter": "public_signals",
   "name": "Public signals",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-29/public_signals.json",
   "rows": 118,
   "sha256": "408919ea48a5e0413466b609641b0ef06cd0060118fc52e544e709b8f93c794d",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 118,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-09-29",
   "adapter": "self_parity",
   "name": "Self parity (our own listings)",
   "url": "/api/predictions/2026-09-29/self_parity.json",
   "rows": 165,
   "sha256": "ff46241cfc34edfaf03e0244d992e832530b12d74c73684eed218f6e67af4331",
   "subjects_public": false,
   "row_source": null,
   "open": 165,
   "resolved": 0,
   "past_window_unscored": 0
  }
 ],
 "sources": {
  "reaction_schema": "csoai.sov-reaction/0.1",
  "calibration_schema": "csoai.sov-calibration/0.1",
  "measured_results": "https://councilof.ai/measurement-capsules/",
  "public_capsule_index": "https://councilof.ai/measurement-capsules/v0.2/index.json",
  "public_index_archive": "https://huggingface.co/datasets/csoai/evidence-index/tree/main/measurement-index",
  "link_errors": []
 },
 "licence": {
  "data": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "code": "Apache-2.0"
 }
}