Predictions
17,098 predictions, open and resolved. Each one reacts to one capsule published on councilof.ai and predicts that the capsule's state will be unchanged at the next observation.
Filters apply as you change them. The data comes from /api/latest.json and the per-measurement files it lists.
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| Capsule | Subject | Predicted state | Probability | Window | Status | Brier |
|---|
Reading a row
- Capsule
- The councilof.ai measurement the prediction reacts to, with a link to the public index that lists its batch.
- Predicted state
- The state the capsule recorded. The prediction says the next observation will show the same state.
- Probability
- How likely the prediction says that is. 0.5 means no history yet. The basis is in the JSON.
- Window
- When the next observation can count: not before the first date, not after the second.
- Status
- Open, Resolved (scored), or Window closed, unscored. Only Resolved rows have a Brier score.